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Post by jetsfan88 on Jan 31, 2012 14:58:47 GMT -6
The DJ at QX 104 just talked about all this on the radio and credited the fine folks here at Jets Hockey forum
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Post by gobombersgo on Jan 31, 2012 15:09:32 GMT -6
We are more like minimum 7 points behind and possibly 9 nine points behind. VERY slim chance of making the ground up, but.... it's still a chance. I thought you just eliminated us 3 posts ago saying we will not make the playoffs?!?! We won't. But there is a chance
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Post by domi on Jan 31, 2012 15:11:26 GMT -6
I figure if they go 20-10-2 they could have a decent shot. I don't see it happening though with all the injuries and the teams poor play as of late. To put this all into perspective, as I mentioned earlier, the Jets probably need a winning percentage of 72% over the next 32 games to make the playoffs. To win the Stanley Cup, you only need a 57% winning percentage at worst. ...So, IF the Jets get into the playoffs, heck, they could win the Cup!
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Post by mrgrinch on Jan 31, 2012 16:21:20 GMT -6
I think the average points required is 92 points (in the east)... but agree that shouldn't change the analysis much. Basically we can't lose a whole lotta games over the next few months. I think the Jets could do something like 17-7-8 and still make the playoffs...
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Post by flyingjay on Jan 31, 2012 16:33:48 GMT -6
In light of the injuries and place in the standings right now, I'm giving us between 8-12% chance of making playoffs. I'm perfectly content if Chevy becomes a "seller" before the deadline. The Jets will still win more than they lose at home...which will make it an entertaining last three months of the season either way.
If our GM can pull a "Chirellian" move for Kane like the Kessell deal, I will be a very very happy Jets fan!
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Post by Guardian on Jan 31, 2012 16:52:15 GMT -6
I did my own "fan-boy" analysis, and I figure that if the Jets expect to make the playoffs, they can lose no more than 9 games out of the next 32! Here's the analysis:Assumption: To make the playoffs, (based on last 4 years) a team will require between 94 - 96 points. Let's say 95 points is the magic number, get there and your in, don't get there and you are golfing in April. Numbers: Jets currently have 50pts. They have 32 games remaining; 16 at home, 16 on the road. Required points to make the playoffs from today: 45 points. That means winning more than 22 of the next 32 games. So if the Jets lose more than 9 games over the next 32 games, they are done This means they need a winning percentage of about 72% over the next 32 games to win. Currently, their home winning record is 64%, while their away winning record is 36%. For a combined 50% winning record. Basically its unlikely for them to get into the playoffs. To do so, they would have to continously be on 4 game win-streaks with only 1 loss in between. So for us Jets fans: THEY'RE GONNA DO IT! Nice job with the analysis Domi! Getting to the playoffs will be difficult, but, not impossible. Either way, I'm happy the Jets are back.
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roo604
1st Line Centre
Posts: 437
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Post by roo604 on Jan 31, 2012 19:16:29 GMT -6
I thought you just eliminated us 3 posts ago saying we will not make the playoffs?!?! We won't. But there is a chance I'll go with, we will. But there is a chance we won't.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 1, 2012 0:22:52 GMT -6
Why am I not surprised that Domi did some in-depth analysis? Where are the graphs and charts?
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Post by bottsy on Feb 1, 2012 1:03:29 GMT -6
I think we will know alot in the next 11 days!
TB,FLA,MTL,TOR,WSH,PIT
I think after those 6 days we will know whether we are a chance or not.
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Post by Dcmac on Feb 1, 2012 5:53:06 GMT -6
Making the playoffs is as easy as winning our division. Our division is really weakened and if the Jets can capitalize dare I say, we could win the division and have #3 seed.
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Post by domi on Feb 1, 2012 14:48:42 GMT -6
Making the playoffs is as easy as winning our division. Our division is really weakened and if the Jets can capitalize dare I say, we could win the division and have #3 seed. You are correct. Winning the division will guaruntee us a playoff spot even if top-spot in our division is below 8 other teams in the conference. However, its unlikely (based on all years of this configuration) that top-spot in our division would be technically below a play-off spot. 95 points is still the realistic marker. Some have said 93 points. Sure, that's possible, in which case, 10 losses over the next 31 games *might* not prevent them from making the playoffs. But if you are being realistic, 95 points is as low as you should go. We could also get into how O/T and shoot-out losses affect things, but I won't. Basically, every two O/T or S/O losses counts as 1 less loss the Jets can allow. The long and short of it is, this team needs to win at a pace they have not shown this year (including December), in order to make the playoffs. But as Jim Carrey says "So there is a chance!"
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